Scenario
5
Weighted contribution
$0.2882
DLOM
0.0%
Fair market value
$0.2882
Probability-weighted scenarios
| Scenario | Exit value | Probability | Years to exit | Discount rate | Future value / share | Present value / share | Weighted contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPO | $6.25M | 20.0% | 4.0 | 20.0% | $1.1132 | $0.5368 | $0.1074 |
| M&A – High | $3.75M | 30.0% | 3.0 | 25.0% | $0.6511 | $0.3333 | $0.1000 |
| M&A – Base | $2.5M | 30.0% | 3.0 | 25.0% | $0.4185 | $0.2143 | $0.0643 |
| M&A – Low | $1.25M | 15.0% | 2.0 | 30.0% | $0.1860 | $0.1101 | $0.0165 |
| Dissolution | $187.5K | 5.0% | 1.0 | 35.0% | $0.0000 | $0.0000 | $0.0000 |
| Total | 100.0% | $0.2882 | |||||